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Orszag: White House's Deficit Reduction Goal No Gimmick
Thursday, February 26, 2009

5:00 PM

Responding to Republican assertions that President Obama's pledge to cut the deficit in half by the end of his first term could be accomplished without any new cost-cutting or revenue-raising policies, Office of Management and Budget Director Peter Orszag said today that the president's deficit reduction target is no gimmick. "We're not raising the price before a sale," Orszag told reporters following this morning's release of Obama's FY 2010 budget outline, going on to clarify that the starting point is the roughly $1 trillion deficit prior to enactment of the $787 billion economic stimulus package.

Pointing to the Congressional Budget Office's baseline projections that assume no changes in current law, Senate Budget Committee Ranking Member Judd Gregg (R-NH) said today that the administration's goal is "really not heavy lifting" because the deficit would be "dramatically less" than the $500 billion shortfall estimated by the White House four years from now if current tax and spending policies run on auto-pilot.


"In other words, if we do nothing, the deficit will decline by 90 percent over the next four years," states a release issued by Gregg's committee staff.

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According to Orszag, the administration's deficit reduction strategy involves four mechanisms, the first being an assumption that the economy recovers and federal revenues rise as a result. When questioned about whether the administration's economic assumptions tilted towards the "rosy" end compared to private forecasts, White House Council of Economic Advisors Chairman Christina Romer responded that "we certainly are somewhat more optimistic, but certainly nothing out of the ballpark."

An estimated $636 billion in additional federal revenues will go towards deficit reduction over the 10-year window by allowing the Bush tax cuts for upper-income earners to expire in December 2010. The White House is also proposing to close down tax "loopholes" for companies that expatriate and ship jobs overseas.

"Third, we are winding down the war, and that will reduce costs over time," Orszag noted.

The fourth mechanism is eliminating wasteful and fraudulent spending such as improper Medicare payments, and closing the so-called "tax gap," which is the difference between taxes owed and taxes paid to the federal government.

"All told, the budget contains almost $50 billion in reduced errors and improper payments, both on the benefits side and in -- on the revenue side, over 10 years," said Orszag.

Other cost-cutting measures in the White House budget include reduced federal payments for certain large farms for an estimated $10 billion in savings over 10 years, and ending subsidies to private lenders of college loans for an estimated $48 billion in savings over 10 years.

Orszag said that the total $2 trillion in deficit reduction proposals are split evenly between spending reductions and additional revenues resulting from tax hikes -- as compared to baseline estimates.

The administration is projecting a $1.75 trillion deficit this fiscal year that winds down to $533 billion in FY 2013, then inches back up over the remaining 10-year window. Obama will send Congress his full budget request in April.

 

© Copyright Capitol Hill Reports, Inc. (2009). No claim to original government works.