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According to Orszag, the administration's deficit reduction strategy
involves four mechanisms, the first being an assumption that the
economy recovers and federal revenues rise as a result. When
questioned about whether the administration's economic assumptions
tilted towards the "rosy" end compared to private forecasts, White
House Council of Economic Advisors Chairman Christina Romer responded
that "we certainly are somewhat more optimistic, but certainly nothing
out of the ballpark."
An estimated $636 billion in additional federal revenues will go
towards deficit reduction over the 10-year window by allowing the Bush
tax cuts for upper-income earners to expire in December 2010. The
White House is also proposing to close down tax "loopholes" for
companies that expatriate and ship jobs overseas.
"Third,
we are winding down the war, and that will reduce costs over time,"
Orszag noted.
The fourth mechanism is eliminating wasteful and fraudulent spending
such as improper Medicare payments, and closing the so-called "tax
gap," which is the difference between taxes owed and taxes paid to the
federal government.
"All
told, the budget contains almost $50 billion in reduced errors and
improper payments, both on the benefits side and in -- on the revenue
side, over 10 years," said Orszag.
Other
cost-cutting measures in the White House budget include reduced
federal payments for certain large farms for an estimated $10 billion
in savings over 10 years, and ending subsidies to private lenders of
college loans for an estimated $48 billion in savings over 10 years.
Orszag
said that the total
$2 trillion in
deficit reduction proposals are split evenly between spending
reductions and additional revenues resulting from tax hikes -- as
compared to baseline estimates.
The
administration is projecting a
$1.75 trillion deficit this fiscal year that winds down to $533
billion in FY 2013, then inches back up over the remaining 10-year
window. Obama will send Congress his full budget request in April.
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