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Sunday, January 11, 2009
9:00 PM


Obama Urges Swift Action on Economic Stimulus Package in Face of $1.2 Trillion Deficit


President-elect Barack Obama on Sunday renewed his call for Congress to take immediate action on his roughly $800 billion economic stimulus package aimed at jumpstarting an economy that is expected to become the longest and deepest recession since World War II.

"The sooner a recovery and reinvestment package is in place, the sooner we can start turning the economy around," Obama said during an interview on ABC's This Week with George Stephanopoulos. "We can't afford three, four, five, six more months where we're losing half a million jobs per month." Obama went on to acknowledge that even without any new economic stimulus legislation, he and Congress will face a record-shattering deficit this year.

Earlier this week, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) predicted an eye-popping $1.2 trillion federal budget shortfall for the current fiscal year (FY 2009) that ends Sept. 30, or 8.3 percent of GDP, a record in terms of percentage of GDP. This projection -- also called a "baseline" -- assumes no changes in current law. 

"As a share of the economy, the deficit for this year is anticipated to be the largest recorded since World War II," CBO Acting Director Robert Sunshine said.

CBO pointed to several factors contributing to the stark budgetary picture on both sides of the ledger. With respect to federal revenues, CBO expects a decline of $166 billion (6.6 percent) from FY 2008 due to substantial declines projected for individual and corporate income taxes.

 

         Total Deficit or Surplus (Percentage of gross domestic product)
        Source: Congressional Budget Office


CBO's Outlook: Quick Links

Full Report
Supplemental Data
Charts
Watch Chairman Spratt's Press Conference

Relevant CRS Reports

Current Economic Conditions and Selected Forecasts
Economic Stimulus: Issues and Policies

On the spending front, CBO estimates an additional $180 billion in additional outlays stemming from the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), which was created in the fall of 2008.

During a press conference following Wednesday's release of CBO's outlook report, House Budget Committee Chairman John Spratt (D-SC) explained that additional funding for military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan will further balloon this year's deficit.

"The deficits facing us are daunting," Spratt said. "You can't describe them in any other way. Even without the cost of a recovery plan they're daunting. And they beg the question, should we make the deficit worse by trying to make the economy better?"


In Brief


House and Senate appropriators announce new earmark reforms. On Tuesday, House and Senate Appropriations Chairmen Dave Obey (D-WI) and Daniel Inouye (D-HI) announced new earmark policy reforms for the 111th Congress, including a requirement that members post their earmark requests on their websites at the time the requests are made. Meanwhile, the full House approved language within the rules package that will govern the body during the 111th Congress that codifies the so-called "air drop" earmark point of order.

Federal IGs identify $26 billion in lost savings. The House Oversight Committee released a report revealing that the federal government's inspector generals identified $25.9 billion in lost savings because departments and agencies had failed to implement all of the IGs 13,800 recommendations made since 2001. Nearly half of these recommendations were made over a year ago. "The five agencies that could save the most money by implementing open recommendations are the Social Security Administration, the Department of Health and Human Services, the Department of Defense, the Department of Transportation, and the Department of Housing and Urban Development," the report states.

In Other News...


Gates predicts another $70 billion needed for war operations. Government Executive reported on Jan. 6 that Defense Secretary Robert Gates notified lawmakers that he projects the Pentagon will need an additional $69.7 billion for ongoing military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan this fiscal year. Congress has already provided $65.9 billion for this fiscal year's war operations.

Senate budget writers call for creation of fiscal task force. Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad (D-ND) and Ranking Republican Judd Gregg (R-NH) co-wrote an OP/ED printed in the Jan. 5 Washington Post calling for the creation of a bipartisan panel tasked with developing a legislative proposal "to steer our budget back on course." The two agree that both spending and revenues (i.e., tax policy) should be on the table.

 

Quorum Call: Preview of House and Senate Floor Action


The House this week is scheduled to take up the TARP Reform and Accountability Act (H.R. 384), legislation would require existing or future institutions that receive funding under the $700 billion Troubled Assets Relief Program to provide no less than quarterly public reporting on its use of the funding, among other provisions. The House this week is also slated to consider an amendment to the body's internal rules that would require each committee to hold "periodic hearings on the topic of waste, fraud, abuse, or mismanagement in Government programs which that committee may authorize."

Across the Capitol, the Senate today held a rare Sunday session and approved a motion to proceed to floor consideration of the Omnibus Public Land Management Act (S. 22), a bill that would designate certain land as components of the National Wilderness Preservation System, authorize certain programs and activities in the Department of the Interior and the Department of Agriculture, along with other provisions. The Senate continues debate on the bill tomorrow.

 

© Copyright Capitol Hill Reports, Inc. (2009). No claim to original government works.

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